Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.053885 0.058423 0.063012 0.067992 0.073237 0.078591 0.084460
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.046788 0.053504 0.060534 0.068417 0.076980 0.085975 0.096112
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.041554 0.049872 0.058855 0.069214 0.080768 0.093196 0.107513
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.037610 0.047176 0.057802 0.070363 0.084691 0.100415 0.118863
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.035754 0.046582 0.058898 0.073761 0.091028 0.110283 0.133200
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.031184 0.042413 0.055529 0.071719 0.090902 0.112658 0.138945
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.028027 0.039663 0.053589 0.071126 0.092270 0.116603 0.146381
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.025421 0.037374 0.052012 0.070796 0.093806 0.120638 0.153853
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.024406 0.037005 0.052722 0.073190 0.098572 0.128474 0.165810
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.022980 0.035982 0.052513 0.074368 0.101807 0.134460 0.175583
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.021602 0.034918 0.052164 0.075297 0.104684 0.139990 0.184813
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.019785 0.033125 0.050759 0.074784 0.105690 0.143195 0.191211
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.018665 0.032270 0.050588 0.075894 0.108811 0.149107 0.201073
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.017051 0.030604 0.049244 0.075404 0.109854 0.152441 0.207801
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015866 0.029481 0.048574 0.075753 0.111945 0.157069 0.216141
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014981 0.028741 0.048384 0.076708 0.114795 0.162645 0.225673
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.014946 0.029296 0.050025 0.080167 0.120960 0.172463 0.240572
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.013210 0.027072 0.047585 0.077927 0.119523 0.172554 0.243239
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.012070 0.025712 0.046326 0.077260 0.120125 0.175220 0.249129
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.011101 0.024563 0.045315 0.076889 0.121086 0.178323 0.255567
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010938 0.024761 0.046330 0.079411 0.125994 0.186586 0.268643
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010469 0.024398 0.046463 0.080651 0.129146 0.192569 0.278827
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.009968 0.023943 0.046429 0.081630 0.131933 0.198080 0.288428